SCM with Demand Forecasting
Demand, supply planning and suppliers, in one system.
ML predictions, seasonal trends, safety stock
Explore the specification
Submitted
- PRM-17139 ITM-2306 74 in 7 d
- PRM-93944 ITM-8542 65 3 d
- PRM-64877 ITM-3845 73 in 3 d
- PRM-74498 ITM-5396 72 in 5 d
- PRM-70389 ITM-7750 77 12 d
PRM-17139
- PromoCode
- PC-394
- Item
- ITM-2306
- Region
- Null = all regions
- Channel
- Null = all channels
- StartPeriod
- 24 Sep
- EndPeriod
- 26 Sep
Approval conditions.
Submitted
- CC-46603 CP-19916 2 d
- CC-35325 CP-30555 in 1 d
- CC-31597 CP-40502 in 12 d
- CC-13005 CP-38225 in 1 d
- CC-31586 CP-20455 6 d
CC-46603
- ConsensusPlan
- CP-19916
- Contributor
- UN
- ContributorRole
- Sales
- PlanningEntity
- PE-6495
- Period
- 15 Sep
- ContributorAmount
- 760
Approval conditions.
StatusApprovedActive
StatusOpenInvestigating
StatusScheduledInProgressScheduledDate >= today
Active SOPCycle.Status IN ('Demand', 'Reconcile')You
Statusnot Closed
| Cycle Number | Fiscal Year | Status | Kickoff Date | Publish Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SPC-48365 | 660 | Draft | 16 Sep | 21 Sep |
| SPC-58479 | 930 | Demand | 06 Sep | 12 Sep |
| SPC-81199 | 180 | Supply | 29 Sep | 05 Oct |
| SPC-87076 | 610 | Reconcile | 19 Sep | 27 Sep |
| SPC-47483 | 860 | ExecLeadership | 12 Sep | 17 Sep |
| SPC-93666 | 210 | Published | 24 Sep | 02 Oct |
Stage matches contributor role's review stageYouown ConsensusContributions not yet Submitted
| Consensus Plan Number | SOPCycle | Stage | Opened At | Entity Count |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| CP-27187 | SPC-71554 | Draft | 15 Sep | 4 |
| CP-62725 | SPC-49080 | MarketingReview | 27 Sep | 24 |
| CP-35938 | SPC-10262 | SalesReview | 07 Sep | 8 |
| CP-84779 | SPC-47077 | OpsReview | 18 Sep | 32 |
| CP-63312 | SPC-82179 | Reconciled | 17 Sep | 4 |
| CP-14268 | SPC-19536 | Published | 16 Sep | 35 |
RollingMAPE3M > ForecastModel.AccuracyThresholdMAPERunDate within last 30 days
| Planning Entity | Forecast Model.Method | MAPE | WAPE | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE-3397 | FM-444 | 850 | 870 | 710 |
| PE-5850 | FM-811 | 280 | 360 | 380 |
| PE-6405 | FM-938 | 230 | 310 | 300 |
| PE-6512 | FM-412 | 930 | 450 | 710 |
| PE-6880 | FM-760 | 790 | 220 | 170 |
| PE-2795 | FM-685 | 690 | 520 | 50 |
Latest Published SOPCycle for each PlanningEntityPeriod >= today
| Planning Entity | Item | Region | Channel | Period |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE-7419 | ITM-4531 | RGN-888 | CHN-856 | 10 Sep |
| PE-7464 | ITM-9649 | RGN-826 | CHN-472 | 22 Sep |
| PE-5638 | ITM-7082 | RGN-191 | CHN-832 | 12 Sep |
| PE-5392 | ITM-8132 | RGN-574 | CHN-278 | 19 Sep |
| PE-4374 | ITM-9525 | RGN-248 | CHN-650 | 06 Sep |
| PE-3876 | ITM-3708 | RGN-691 | CHN-403 | 28 Sep |
no published to inventory atComputedAt within last 7 days
| Item | Location | Target Service Level | Lead Time Days | Safety Stock Units |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ITM-8434 | LCT-120 | 150 | 11 | 100 |
| ITM-6825 | LCT-140 | 760 | 27 | 180 |
| ITM-5799 | LCT-110 | 730 | 29 | 800 |
| ITM-1756 | LCT-110 | 480 | 29 | 900 |
| ITM-6463 | LCT-120 | 230 | 7 | 30 |
| ITM-9043 | LCT-140 | 610 | 30 | 480 |
You
| Code | Type | Item | Status | Start Period / Launch Date |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PUN-39103 | Open | ITM-4789 | Open | 13 Sep |
| PUN-85393 | Open | ITM-4780 | Closed | 10 Sep |
| PUN-66044 | Open | ITM-1458 | Open | 25 Sep |
| PUN-15495 | Open | ITM-3438 | Closed | 15 Sep |
| PUN-42707 | Open | ITM-8905 | Open | 21 Sep |
| PUN-24226 | Open | ITM-9973 | Closed | 27 Sep |
Illustrative records generated from the specification. Explore the views to inspect the planned operating model.
Built for your team.
Supply chain planners who need demand, supply and shipments on one screen.
- Defined tables
- 30
- Operational views
- 12
- Defined roles
- 7
- Reports
- 8
Defined in the planned system specification.
What’s inside.
ML predictions, seasonal trends, safety stock
Demand
Forecasts and signals
Supply planning
Net requirements and lead times
Suppliers
Scorecards, contracts and portals
Shipments
Inbound, outbound and tracking
Warehouses
Stock, lots and locations
Exceptions
Shortages, delays and escalations
- 01Forecast
- 02Plan supply
- 03Purchase
- 04Receive
- 05Deliver
Built for your team
SOPCycleStageScheduled DateFacilitator
Supply Review
Demand Planning Manager
Owns the function and the S&OP cycle. The named approver on Promotions, NPIs, SOPCycle stage transitions, and the final publish. Reviews ConsensusContributions and signs off on ConsensusPlans before they roll into the Reconcile meeting.
Planning EntityItemRegionChannel
Demand Planner
Operational role — runs StatisticalForecasts, manages HistoricalAdjustments, investigates Exceptions, prepares the Forecasts for Demand Planning Manager review. Owns the day-to-day forecast quality.
Consensus Plan NumberSOPCycleStageOpened At
Marketing Review
Sales Rep
Contributes to ConsensusContributions for own Region / Channel. Sees Forecasts only for the PlanningEntities where AssignedSalesRep = self. Logs Justification when proposing a move from the AdjustedForecast.
NPICodeItemLaunch DateRamp Up Curve
Marketing Manager
Contributes Promotions and NPIs. Reviews PromotionUplift after calc to verify Marketing's expected lift matches the model's math. Sits in DemandReview as ContributorMarketing.
Planning EntityItemRegionChannel
Operations Lead
Consumes the published plan in the Supply Review meeting and weighs in on capacity-constrained Items via ConsensusContributions of Source: CapacityConstraint. Reads the Final plan and the SafetyStockTargets that fall out of it.
Cycle NumberFiscal YearStatusKickoff Date
Demand
Executive
Read-only S&OP review. Sees the Cycle Pack at the Executive S&OP meeting and signs off (via SOPDecisions of DecisionType: ApprovePlan) before the cycle Publishes.
Reports and dashboards
Explore what each report measures and the records behind it.
Forecast Accuracy
MAPE, WAPE, and Bias per PlanningEntity rolled to Item × Region × Channel and to total, trailing-3 / trailing-6 / trailing-12 month windows. Highlights the systematic over- or under-forecasting patterns and the models ready for reselection. The Demand Planner's daily landing report.
Plan vs Actual Variance
Per-Period FinalForecast vs. ActualQuantity rolled to Item × Region × Channel × Period, with absolute and percent variance and the rolling cumulative bias. The Pre-S&OP / Reconcile meeting pack.
Promotion Performance
Per-Promotion: AppliedUpliftPct, realized uplift (post-period Actuals vs. counterfactual baseline), attainment %, and InvestmentUSD efficiency. Drives Marketing's promo-effectiveness review.
NPI Ramp Attainment
Per-NPI: planned ramp curve vs. realized curve, peak attainment %, time-to-peak variance, cannibalization realized vs. expected. Feeds the post-launch retro.
Forecast Bias by Contributor
ConsensusContributions by Contributor: count submitted, accepted, rejected, and the realized bias (post-period Actuals vs. ContributorAmount). Surfaces systematic over-optimism per Sales Rep / Marketing manager and tunes the consensus weighting.
S&OP Cycle Pack
Per-Cycle financial / operational rollup: Total FinalForecast quantity and revenue, delta vs. prior cycle Final, delta vs. fin-budgeting Revenue Targets, top movers, top exceptions, top decisions. The board / executive read-out.
Forecast Value Add (FVA)
Compares MAPE of BaselineForecast (statistical only) against MAPE of ConsensusForecast (after Sales / Marketing input) and FinalForecast (after Exec sign-off). Negative FVA = the human override made the forecast worse. The diagnostic that keeps the consensus process honest.
Driver Sensitivity
For each RegressionWithDrivers ForecastModel, the coefficient, significance, and the per-Item elasticity to each driver (Price, Weather, MarketingSpend, Macro). Tunes which drivers to keep loaded and where to look when actuals miss.
One connected workspace
Forecast Accuracydrill-down
MAPE, WAPE, and Bias per PlanningEntity rolled to Item × Region × Channel and to total, trailing-3 / trailing-6 / trailing-12 month windows. Highlights the systematic over- or under-forecasting patterns and the models ready for reselection. The Demand Planner's daily landing report.
| Planning Entity | Forecast Model.Method | MAPE | WAPE | Bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PE-3397 | FM-444 | 850 | 870 | 710 |
| PE-5850 | FM-811 | 280 | 360 | 380 |
| PE-6405 | FM-938 | 230 | 310 | 300 |
| PE-6512 | FM-412 | 930 | 450 | 710 |
- PlanningEntity
- PE-3397
- RunDate
- 14 Sep
- MAPE
- 850
- WAPE
- 870
- Bias
- 710
- RollingMAPE3M
- 320
ownerDemand Planner
Go from the big picture to the details behind it. Open any record to see its status, owner and history.
Illustrative records. Connections follow the authored specification.
Controls and automation
System checks
history-load-from-erp — scheduleTrigger weekly Monday 02:00 → refreshes HistoricalSales.
statistical-forecast-run — scheduleTrigger weekly Tuesday 04:00 → refreshes Forecasts.BaselineForecast + ForecastModelRuns log.
forecast-error-tracking — scheduleTrigger monthly business-day-1 → refreshes MAPE / WAPE / Bias series and flags models below accuracy.
promotion-uplift-calc — appEventTrigger on Promotions (Status: Approved) → writes AdjustedForecast + PromotionUplift audit lines.
npi-curve-application — appEventTrigger on NPIs (Status: Approved) → writes AdjustedForecast for launch periods.
consensus-plan-collaboration-routing — appEventTrigger on ConsensusPlans → walks Stage Draft → MarketingReview → SalesReview → OpsReview → Reconciled, emails contributors, advances on completion or SLA.
sop-cycle-launch — scheduleTrigger monthly business-day-2 → opens SOPCycle, snapshots V1-Statistical, schedules four meetings.
final-plan-publish-to-supply — appEventTrigger on SOPCycles (Status: Published) → freezes FinalForecast, snapshots V4-FinalApproved, recomputes SafetyStockTargets, pushes plan outbound to scm-inventory, scm-procurement, manufacturing-erp, fin-budgeting.
exception-flag — appEventTrigger on Forecasts → writes Exceptions on large variance / trend break / accuracy drift.
seasonality-recompute — scheduleTrigger quarterly business-day-1 of each quarter → refreshes SeasonalityProfiles for entities with 24+ months of history. Integrations: inbound from ERP (HistoricalSales), scm-inventory (current on-hand for consensus context), CRM (large-deal opportunity feed surfaces spike candidates), Marketing platforms (planned promo calendar), an external weather / macro driver feed (DriverData), PIM / NPI process (new Item triggers NPI intake), and fin-budgeting (locked Revenue Targets used as a sanity gate, US dollars). Outbound to scm-inventory (SafetyStockTargets per Item × Location), scm-procurement (FinalForecast as PO-recommendation input), manufacturing-erp (FinalForecast as MRP input), fin-budgeting (FinalForecast as Revenue line input for the next BudgetCycle), BI tools (Forecasts, ForecastModelRuns, ForecastVersions datasets), the document store (S&OP cycle packets), and email (consensus contribution requests, exception alerts, cycle-launch notifications, plan-publication notifications).
